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September 29, 2008

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MIke Chitty

One of the things about the development of markets and capitalism in general is that they require both a seller and a buyer. Every time I open my wallet I am influencing the shape of capitalism through my spending decisions.

Perhaps if buyers were more thoroughly educated in the implications of their purchasing decisions.

Edward

Well I’m a long way yet from perceiving even a significant change in the underlying structures and power dispositions in global capitalism. In fact, for me a sober and instructive piece is by Michael Skapinker in the FT today. He still sees New York and London retaining their preeminent position in international markets – still less does he worry about any likely fundamental change in the structure of international capitalism.
My view has increasingly been that we must find our own ways ahead and not look to any fundamental change or end to capitalism. In fact I’m increasingly impatient about folks who seem to endlessly predict the trials an d tribulations of ‘the system’ instead of getting on and constructing their own alternative.

Extract from Skapinker’s piece on why NY and London have USPs and will return to prosperity:

“The first is language. Lehman Brothers may have gone overnight, but it takes centuries for a language to disappear. A global generation has invested years learning English, which has no ready challenger.

The two cities’ second advantage is law. The US may be excessively litigious and lawyers may charge outrageous fees in both cities, but where else would you look to the law to defend your corporate rights? Shanghai? Moscow?

The third advantage is collective brain power. This may seem laughable, given where bankers’ supposed intelligence has landed us now, but the solutions to this crisis will come in cities most open to raucous debate from whoever has anything to contribute. The next 30 years will be different, but New York and London will rise again."

Edward

This article from the journal of Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis is both fascinating and worrying about how near the precipice it can be argued we are. It is unfortunately a pretty heavy read, but in essence, it concludes that whole countries can go broke – and that the USA is actually going broke. Their solution is that foreign inflows are staving off the worse for now but that will not last long and that other, fundamental, systemic reforms and restructuring are essential.

Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis

http://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/06/07/Thakor.pdf

Rob Greenland

Are you trying to tip me over the edge Edward?! It certainly is worrying stuff - Governments can't keep on promising to honour debts forever. You get the impression that a lot of it is about confidence - Governments have to say that they'll honour the debts - as otherwise stock markets will fall even more and then we'll be in even more trouble. There's got to be a better way to run the world.

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